All State Excess Mortality 2020 and 2021 – Reported as of January 19th, 2022

I got a request from Henry to post all 50 states excess mortality numbers, both raw and percent above baseline for 2020 and 2021. This seemed a reasonable request, so I pulled it together. To note, data from the end of 2021 is still being compiled by some states. There were 7 that had notes that their data from the end of the year is likely still quite incomplete: Alaska, DC, North Carolina, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Utah and West Virginia. At least 2 of those states are currently showing a death drop, so that’s likely where that’s coming from.

The percent increase calculation changed slightly from my last post, so some of the numbers are slightly different – between 0-2% for 48 out of 54 districts, 3 or 4% for the other 6. Additionally, I used predicted deaths to try to compare in the last post, but here the 2021 numbers are actual reported. This means these numbers will only go up in subsequent weeks. I will probably redo this data in another month or two to see how the slow reporting states (and everyone else) changed.

With that out of the way, here’s the table. I bolded the data for the whole US, and highlighted any percent increase that was top 10 for the year. For 2021 it ended up being top 11 actually, as there was a 3 way tie for 9th. Data set was downloaded here this morning, and leave me any questions in the comments!

State2020 deaths – actual2020 deaths – expectedPercent Increase 20202021 deaths – reported2021 deaths – expectedPercent Increase 2021
Alabama625505455915%666665482222%
Alaska4971443412%5612461722%
Arizona759556398819%821746381729%
Arkansas374323318113%398343335519%
California31543028075912%33335627499521%
Colorado471614118914%485494135117%
Connecticut377303224817%33513327842%
Delaware10862100648%11160994312%
District of Columbia737867529%665161598%
Florida24076521828710%26413721836521%
Georgia1024648893015%1097448924423%
Hawaii11990118821%12737123093%
Idaho16340150678%182371510921%
Illinois12744010839418%12034510766312%
Indiana782936881914%778526869413%
Iowa354183092215%33445314996%
Kansas307732692414%308862744713%
Kentucky551455035110%581765001316%
Louisiana563204711220%550694776915%
Maine15504149654%170271540511%
Maryland590485259112%56328527837%
Massachusetts683906099312%63548617043%
Michigan1145109906316%1146119986515%
Minnesota517324607712%50556469458%
Mississippi388253210821%400493250923%
Missouri755146680013%751406745611%
Montana119031043514%126791053720%
Nebraska195471727913%18801177556%
Nevada310062788711%337122751823%
New Hampshire13435130923%13756131794%
New Jersey946217677123%82949775177%
New Mexico228421925419%235591960920%
New York11827410163016%11564010271013%
New York City816605495549%631235533214%
North Carolina1089169930310%96231100320-4%
North Dakota8793717922%74697623-2%
Ohio14221112942610%14518912840913%
Oklahoma458144069013%483104089418%
Oregon39947372057%442193762318%
Pennsylvania15462213953511%15435013774512%
Puerto Rico32056300617%32588303068%
Rhode Island120541047415%1062410888-2%
South Carolina596765180515%586125248412%
South Dakota10052834820%911685447%
Tennessee874187786112%944787887520%
Texas25091721171419%26894021457325%
United States3353789293687814%3403931294807715%
Utah220271992411%227862005014%
Vermont611658415%6609570116%
Virginia786807121110%839727261016%
Washington62558591946%678556005613%
West Virginia253232302610%24240235663%
Wisconsin619405468513%60312554999%
Wyoming5497449022%5923490221%

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